[口头报告]Basin-scale Indian Ocean warming modulates MJO initiation and propagation during boreal summer

Basin-scale Indian Ocean warming modulates MJO initiation and propagation during boreal summer
编号:404 稿件编号:448 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-04-10 19:31:40 浏览:56次 口头报告

报告开始:2024年05月18日 13:55 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会议:[S12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候 » [S12-3] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候 专题12.5(18日下午,226)

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摘要
As a dominant mode of tropical intraseasonal variability, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) significantly influences global weather and climate. MJO initiation and propagation display evident interannual variations, which have been mostly attributed to modulation effects of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in previous studies. Nevertheless, whether the Indian Ocean (IO) warming independently of ENSO modulates the MJO is seldom examined. Here, we exclude boreal summer seasons of ENSO but consider those when basin-scale warming phenomena occur over the Indian Ocean (IOBM hereafter). We find that the MJO deep convection tends to initiate more westward and only propagate confined over the IO under warm IOBM conditions. However, under cold IOBM conditions, the MJO usually starts from the central-eastern IO and can propagate smoothly across the Maritime Continent (MC) and re-develop over the western Pacific (WP). We try to understand mechanisms by first examining background mean states. Compared to the cold IOBM, the warm IOBM is featured by a westward shift of warm waters (29℃) over the IO, thus causing more westward-initiated MJO. Additionally, the warm IOBM induces anomalous anticyclone circulation over the north WP, which inhibits MJO eastward propagation. Secondly, under warm IOBM conditions, the anomalous suppressed convection and thus low-level easterly wind anomalies over MC-WP regions leading the MJO deep convection become weaker. Consequently, the premoistening from high-frequency synoptic-scale meridional advection is reduced, leading to a nonpropagating MJO. We also perform CESM model experiments to validate these observational findings. Our results emphasize that one could attribute interannual variations of MJO by considering independent modulation effects of the IO. One may further use mechanisms refined here to focus on decadal IO warming to fully understand how global warming could affect MJO features.
关键字
Madden-Julian Oscillation,Indian Ocean basin-wide SST,CESM,moisture,convection
报告人
魏云涛
青年副研究员 复旦大学

稿件作者
王玉雯 复旦大学
魏云涛 复旦大学
任宏利 中国气象局
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